Tool for likelihood of your job going to a robot in the next 20 years...

Discussion in 'The Red Room' started by Ebeneezer Goode, Sep 15, 2015.

  1. Ebeneezer Goode

    Ebeneezer Goode Gobshite

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    Not sure of the accuracy of this, but it's methodology is explained.

    So who's fucked then? :D

    Be curious to revisit the accuracy of this in a couple of decades.
  2. El Chup

    El Chup Fuck Trump Deceased Member Git

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    320th of 366 :techman:
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  3. oldfella1962

    oldfella1962 the only real finish line

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    Not even close to accurate for my job. It takes a lot of creativity and improvisation and interfacing with customers and traveling from place-to-place. But what's really important, in the near future anyway, is it cannot be outsourced and is rarely (if ever) done by a recently arrived foreign worker.
  4. tafkats

    tafkats scream not working because space make deaf Moderator

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    330th. I used to be 285th, so I guess that was a good career move.

    I wonder about the methodology, though -- not the criteria for risk, which make sense, but how they matched jobs to criteria. For instance, "public relations professional" is listed as about five times more at-risk than "advertising and public relations director." Similar work, so is it just the level of decision-making involved?
  5. Rimjob Bob

    Rimjob Bob Classy Fellow

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    "ESL teacher" specifically was not listed, but teachers in general were in the bottom 1%.

    However, I read an article a couple years ago. It suggested that ESL instruction will become obsolete by translation technology. Essentially, Star Trek universal translators will become kind of a thing?
  6. ed629

    ed629 Morally Inept Banned

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    Google Translate for Android is already pretty close to it.
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  7. Lanzman

    Lanzman Vast, Cool and Unsympathetic Formerly Important

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    252 out of 366 for web design/developer. Guess I'm relatively safe from our new robotic overlords (who I welcome, btw).
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  8. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    But mightn't most prostitutes like yourself be supplanted by sex bots? Barristers, at least, I can understand being at 320.


    I went from the same "whore = 320" to 287 as 'restaurant owner or manager.' But that's n.g., should be larger #, I'll just hire/fire the robot depending on whose job it wants (fire it if it wants my job, hire it to get rid of employees made too expensive by obamacare and min wage regulation (already fired staff for that, but e.g. will hire automatic cooks asap)).
  9. El Chup

    El Chup Fuck Trump Deceased Member Git

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    Nah, I fuck people over instead of letting them fuck me.
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  10. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    ^Good humour, gracias.

    But I have always found it bizarre that the function was labeled "solicitor" given the pejorative use of that term over here across the pond. I know, I know, you guys came first (which I guess will be true again with the eventual sexbots).
  11. El Chup

    El Chup Fuck Trump Deceased Member Git

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    My first introduction to the profession was at the age of 15 when the school sent us out on work experience placements. My placement was in a law firm. You had to fill out this log book of your daily activities and one entry I completed read "we solicited today". The firm thought it hilarious. The school? Not so much....
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  12. Liet

    Liet Dr. of Horribleness, Ph.D.

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    Well, the percentage for solicitor/barrister jobs is absurdly wrong, at least as things look in the U.S. They are coming in at 3%, 320 of 366. The reality is that most contract work, most document review work, most low-level litigation, and many other attorney functions are generally better handled by computer programs than by actual attorneys. Full time attorney jobs capable of paying the bills are rapidly disappearing in favor of cubicle dwelling wage-slave positions, and those are going to be replaced by computers as soon as the remaining high-powered lawyers manage to get laws changed to allow for it.
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  13. El Chup

    El Chup Fuck Trump Deceased Member Git

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    Absolutely laughable remark.
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  14. Ebeneezer Goode

    Ebeneezer Goode Gobshite

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    That's one I'm not entirely confident about. Design, yes, but development? I knocked up a system the other year that, with a bit more tinkering, would satisfy most data development for SME's and could easily be automated. Given the power of computers right now, most data could be stored in either NoSQL key/pairs or a proper cube, and then you just need the knowledge of what your reporting on an it's just a data ETL process... Match that with the increasing natural language of the likes of Siri, Cortana and Google Now, and I'd say around half of corporate development could be easily automated in the next 20 years.

    The only thing slowing it down is how boneheaded corporates are towards IT.
  15. Ebeneezer Goode

    Ebeneezer Goode Gobshite

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  16. Rimjob Bob

    Rimjob Bob Classy Fellow

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    Really? The essays that my kids use it to cheat with--they suggest otherwise.
  17. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    The sexbot in the pic reminded me of Serenity's "Mr Universe" wife-bot. And movies like "Her" e.g. have shown AI companions comparing favorably to the typical "modern" woman (albeit with some flaws).

    Of course the shrews and cunts from RL are insecure: if a guy can find (even artificial) pussy sans baggage like irrationality and lack of reason/accountability, only the comparatively few women who are pleasant companions will still have a place; the feminist-types will be obsolete unless they can do a job like anyone else.

    Mankind can be freed from the (overvalued but indispensable) currency of pussy !

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  18. oldfella1962

    oldfella1962 the only real finish line

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    Well, Mr. Jetson - your family won't be back from shopping for a few hours. Anything.......extra you want cleaned? Anything you can think of I might have.....missed? Maybe something that needs.......extra polishing perhaps?

    ros.jpg
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  19. Paladin

    Paladin Overjoyed Man of Liberty

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    Quite unlikely. 274th.
  20. Quincunx

    Quincunx anti-anti Staff Member Administrator

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    This is really only an issue for those whose identities are entirely defined by their careers. A robot is not going to replace your most important job, which is experiencing the world as you and living the best life you can.
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  21. Lanzman

    Lanzman Vast, Cool and Unsympathetic Formerly Important

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    Hey, I was going off of what the thing at the link said. Working in the field, I know exactly how much of it could be/already is automated. Probably won't be long before a "web developer" will be an optimized AI and you just tell it, in essence, "make me a website that uses these pictures and sells this product."
  22. Quincunx

    Quincunx anti-anti Staff Member Administrator

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    Seems a bit facile to suggest that all our needs for human interaction are purely transactional (what can this person do for me weighed against how much will they annoy me). Isn't the inherent unpredictability and lack of control part of the fun?
  23. oldfella1962

    oldfella1962 the only real finish line

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    Well that observation and a couple of dollars might get you a cup of coffee.
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  24. oldfella1962

    oldfella1962 the only real finish line

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    No. :brood: I like predictability & control in my human interactions, thus I keep them as brief and innocuose as possible.
  25. Quincunx

    Quincunx anti-anti Staff Member Administrator

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    See? I had no idea you were going to say that, which makes conversing with other people much more enjoyable than conversing with a scripted AI, no matter how sophisticated.
  26. Dinner

    Dinner 2012 & 2014 Master Prognosticator

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    Closest to my job was the physical scientist. it says I am 253rd which is ranked quite unlikely to be automated.
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  27. Lanzman

    Lanzman Vast, Cool and Unsympathetic Formerly Important

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    All of my human interactions are based on how much they will annoy me. :brood:
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  28. K.

    K. Sober

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    327 :P
  29. TheBurgerKing

    TheBurgerKing The Monarch of Flavor

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    my job is to program the robots...suck it losers [​IMG]
  30. Tuttle

    Tuttle Listen kid, we're all in it together.

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    Pshaw.
    The entire history of mankind basically comes down to a battle over pussy. War, religion, politics, pretty much all of it. Sexbots could liberate in unimagined ways (cept it's fake).